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Posted: Tue Mar 18, 2008 4:03 pm Post subject: NCAA and NBA March 18th Picks
NCAA
Nevada/Houston over 156.5
Southern Illinois -5
Virginia -11.5
NBA
Detroit -6
New Jersey +5.5
Boston +4.5 (Could be the end of Houstons Streak) _________________
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Posted: Tue Mar 18, 2008 7:42 pm Post subject: added
GAME: Stephen F. Austin @ Massachusetts Mar 18, 2008 6:00PM
SPORT: College Basketball Picks
PICK: Stephen F. Austin
Offered at: +9.5
REASON FOR PICK: ***Note Early Start Time*** The NIT cannot be looked at the same way as the NCAA Tournament or the regular season for that matter. While the games are decided on the court, a lot of them are already decided before the games are even played and this could be one of those. Massachusetts has no interest in playing in this game or in this tournament. The Minutemen had a very good season and they thought they could sneak into the Big Dance but the résumé just wasn’t good enough.
While they are disappointed to not be going to the NCAA Tournament, it will be hard for them to be getting up for this game following what happened in the Atlantic Ten Tournament. Massachusetts had an 18-point lead in the second half against Charlotte and also a nine-point lead with less than five minutes to go but the 49ers rallied for a second straight night. Leading scorer Gary Forbes along with other teammates lay stunned on the floor after the game showing what a disappointment it really was.
While the Minutemen want no part of this, Stephen F. Austin is thrilled to be here. The Lumberjacks are not happy about losing in the Southland Tournament to Northwestern St. but this is the first appearance in a national tournament in over 20 years so it is special. This is the best season since joining Division I 21 years ago and their record ended up being the 10th best in the country. Sure they came from a weak conference but they went to San Diego and Oklahoma and came away with outright victories.
The Lumberjacks five losses this season are due to the top two scorers having been contained offensively. Josh Alexander and Matt Kingsly average combined 31.9 ppg and the Lumberjacks are 19-1 this season when both reach double figures, and they are undefeated at 10-0 when they both score their average. The Minutemen do not have a defense that can contain both and they should be able have their success down low. Massachusetts has only one player taller than 6’7” that contributes significantly.
On the flip side, the Lumberjacks have held 21 opponents to 60 points or fewer and have only allowed three teams to score more than 70 points. They have held opponents to 39.2 percent shooting from the floor which is 14th in the country. The numbers do not get much worse on the road either. Another big factor is free throw shooting as they are hitting 73.9 percent over their last five games while Massachusetts is hitting a mere 63.2 percent over that same span. Massachusetts is on upset alert as a large favorite. Play Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 1 Unit
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