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Posted: Sat Mar 29, 2008 4:17 pm Post subject: March 29th NCAA and NBA
University of Sportsbooks March 29th Picks
NCAA
Xaiver/UCLA Under 131
UNC -6
NBA
Denver Nuggets -7
The Nuggets are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Warriors are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win of more than 10 points, 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. Western Conference, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Northwest, and 8-27 ATS in their last 35 games following a SU win. The Warriors are just 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Denver
Phoenix Suns -6
I know the Suns just played last night, but I don't see fatigue as a major issue against a terrible Nets squad. A big win over Phily gives the Suns some nice momentum heading into this one and I think we're going to see Phoenix go on another nice little run here. The Suns are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win, 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic. The Nets are 5-21-2 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5, and 8-20-2 ATS in their last 30 vs. Western Conference. The Nets played last night also and I think fatigue will be a much bigger factor for them as they don't have the depth of Phoenix
Charlotte Bobcats +6
The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog period. The Bobcats are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the NBA Northwest and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Trail Blazers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Because Portland has a good home record, they are being overvalued here despite the fact that they haven't played that well in the second half of the season. Charlotte has rattled off back-to-back road wins and I like its momentum to continue in this one.
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