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March 28th NCAA and NBA Picks

 
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 28, 2008 3:59 pm    Post subject: March 28th NCAA and NBA Picks Reply with quote

University of Sportsbooks Picks for March 28th

Stanford/Texas OVER 135

Texas is 6-0 OVER in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.  Stanford is 10-3 OVER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season and 9-0 OVER in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games this season.  Stanford is 8-1 OVER in all road tournament games over the last 3 seasons and 13-4 OVER NCAA tournament games since 1997.  Stanford is known for its defense but it has really picked up its scoring in the NCAA Tournament averaging 79.5 ppg.  The Horns are scoring 74.5 ppg in the Dance.  We’ll take the OVER here as these team are just too talented offensively to stifle one another.

Davidson/Wisconsin Under 126

Wisconsin is an unders machine with its ability to defend.  The Badgers have gone under the number in 8 of their last 9 games.  Wisconsin is 11-0 UNDER in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games since 1997, 6-0 UNDER when playing with 5 or 6 days rest this season, 21-8 UNDER as a favorite this season.  Davidson is 17-9 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins this season, 12-3 UNDER versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% since 1997, and 20-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Kansas -11.5

Villanova is not deep enough to be able to run and gun with Kansas .  The 12-seed Wildcats have made a nice little run, but it all stops here.  Kansas has now won 9 straight games and 6 of its last 8 ATS.  Villanova is 0-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season and 0-6 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more this season.  This shows you the inconsistency of Villanova as it is unable to sustain championship-caliber play.  Kansas is 11-2 ATS after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more over the last 2 seasons and 13-6 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins this season.  The Jayhawks have been playing with a chip on their shoulder after being taken out in the Elite Eight last season.

adding
Wisconsin -4.5
Davidsons Run ends tonight.

NBA
New Orleans +7
LA Lakers -14.5
San Antonia -12



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